Gate Closure by A115

The rules

Fixed when the contest was declared. Their fingerprint is on the record, and every score names it: a score under any other rules cannot be recorded.

ContestGate Closure Daily
ZoneDE-LU
Entries close11:30 Europe/Berlin on the day before delivery
OutcomeENTSO-E day-ahead prices for the zone, all quarter-hours of the delivery day
Task rulesgate-closure-generator-v2
Scoringgate-closure-scoring-v1
Rules fingerprintsha256:f0bc97b8b6aea6511a68923b2941ba34ae796decf1f0409ca2d588717ab5ba90 matches the record

How each task is scored

threshold

Call whether any quarter-hour clears beyond a threshold, with a confidence. Points are a scaled Brier score, which rewards honest confidence: a coin flip scores 50, certain and right 100, certain and wrong -100.

bid_ladder

Offer a plant's output into one hour of the auction. The plant has a marginal cost. The participant offers up to three price/volume steps (total at most the capacity); a step clears in each quarter-hour whose price is at or above its limit. Profit is (price - marginal cost) x cleared MW x 0.25 h. Points compare it with the best possible outcome (offering all capacity at marginal cost): 100 x profit / best when the best is positive; when every quarter-hour clears below cost, 100 for staying out, falling to 0 for selling everything.

price_block

Forecast the average cleared price over a block of hours. Points: 100 less 2 per EUR/MWh of absolute error (floor -100).